Melbourne v West Coast
Traeger Park
11.12
78
14.7
91
Match complete
West Coast won by 13 points
IN
Wagner
Wagner
Hannan
Dunkley
OUT
IN
Watson
Petruccelle
Waterman
Hurn
Cripps
Naitanui
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 59% | 10 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.24 | |
75% | 21 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.59 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.56 | ||
73% | 30 points | ✓ | 16.7 | 0.55 | ||
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.48 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 19 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.38 | ||
Punters | 63% | 13 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.33 | |
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.31 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.24 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.20 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.17 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.08 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.9 | -0.18 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.51 | ||
67% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.58 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.