Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne
Gabba
12.15
87
12.3
75
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 12 points
IN
Hipwood
McCluggage
Hodge
Lester
Walker
Keays
OUT
IN
Durdin
Wood
Higgins
McDonald
Ahern
Taylor
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 64% | 13 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.35 | |
74% | 21 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.57 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.51 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.45 | ||
67% | 21 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.41 | ||
Punters | 67% | 15 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.41 | |
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.32 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.29 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.12 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.