Adelaide v Essendon
Adelaide Oval
10.15
75
15.6
96
Match complete
Essendon won by 21 points
IN
Lynch
Stengle
OUT
IN
Snelling
Ambrose
Hartley
Heppell
Fantasia
Hurley
Laverde
Clarke
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 35.3 | -0.52 |
 |
|
73% | 24 points | ✗ | 45.4 | -0.92 |
 |
|
73% | 25 points | ✗ | 45.8 | -0.91 |
| Punters | |
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -0.82 |
 |
|
70% | 25 points | ✗ | 46.5 | -0.74 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.66 |
 |
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.60 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.47 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.44 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.42 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.39 |
 |
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.7 | -0.38 |
 |
|
61% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.