Adelaide v Essendon

Adelaide Oval

75

96

Match complete
Essendon won by 21 points

IN
Lynch
Stengle
OUT
IN
Snelling
Ambrose
Hartley
Heppell
Fantasia
Hurley
Laverde
Clarke
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
65% 14 points 35.3-0.52
AFLalytics
Adelaide
73% 24 points 45.4-0.92
Squiggle
Adelaide
73% 25 points 45.8-0.91
Punters
Adelaide
72% 21 points 41.8-0.82
Fat Stats
Adelaide
70% 25 points 46.5-0.74
Live Ladders
Adelaide
68% 16 points 37.0-0.66
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
67% 13 points 34.4-0.60
HPN
Adelaide
64% 12 points 33.4-0.47
Stattraction
Adelaide
63% 12 points 33.0-0.44
Swinburne
Adelaide
63% 12 points 33.0-0.43
Graft
Adelaide
63% 12 points 33.0-0.42
The Arc
Adelaide
62% 10 points 31.0-0.39
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
62% 12 points 32.7-0.38
AFL Lab
Adelaide
61% 6 points 27.0-0.36
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
61% 14 points 35.0-0.36
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
59% 7 points 28.0-0.30
AFL Gains
Adelaide
59% 7 points 27.9-0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2019