Fremantle v Sydney
Perth Stadium
7.10
52
7.9
51
Match complete
Fremantle won by 1 point
IN
Bewley
Logue
Duman
Sandilands
Fyfe
Hill
Colyer
Nyhuis
OUT
IN
McLean
Stoddart
Fox
Clarke
Cunningham
Jack
Ronke
Dawson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.12 | |
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 21.7 | 0.57 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.31 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.22 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.14 | ||
Punters | 55% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.14 | |
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.04 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.02 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.03 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.17 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.1 | -0.21 | ||
58% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.