Carlton v Gold Coast
Marvel Stadium
15.9
99
11.9
75
Match complete
Carlton won by 24 points
IN
Deluca
Weitering
Dow
Goddard
OUT
IN
Dawson
Burgess
Ellis
Wright
Weller
Miles
Scheer
Corbett
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 79% | 29 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.66 | |
91% | 40 points | ✓ | 15.6 | 0.87 | ||
89% | 41 points | ✓ | 16.8 | 0.83 | ||
84% | 37 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.74 | ||
Punters | 82% | 35 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.72 | |
81% | 35 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.69 | ||
81% | 31 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.69 | ||
80% | 26 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.66 | ||
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 10 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 35 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.62 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.58 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 28 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.51 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.