Richmond v Port Adelaide
2019-07-20 13:45:00
M.C.G.

15.11

101

9.9

63

Match complete
Richmond won by 38 points

IN

Baker

Graham

McIntosh

Eggmolesse-Smith

OUT

IN

Duursma

Broadbent

Houston

Wines

Ebert

Burton

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	23.8	0.38
		74%	19 points	✓	18.7	0.56
		71%	20 points	✓	18.0	0.51
		70%	18 points	✓	20.0	0.48
Punters		70%	19 points	✓	18.6	0.48
		70%	20 points	✓	18.0	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	21.0	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	20.8	0.45
		68%	24 points	✓	14.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	22.0	0.44
		64%	18 points	✓	20.5	0.37
		61%	9 points	✓	29.0	0.29
		58%	7 points	✓	30.8	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	30.3	0.20
		57%	4 points	✓	34.0	0.19
		56%	6 points	✓	32.0	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	33.5	0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.