Geelong v Hawthorn

M.C.G.

61

85

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 24 points

IN
Parsons
Kolodjashnij
Parfitt
Henry
OUT
IN
Gunston
Birchall
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
68% 18 points 41.5-0.66
Massey Ratings
Geelong
83% 29 points 53.0-1.55
Fat Stats
Geelong
82% 45 points 69.0-1.48
AFL Gains
Geelong
77% 22 points 46.4-1.11
Stattraction
Geelong
74% 24 points 48.0-0.95
AFL Lab
Geelong
71% 15 points 39.0-0.79
Matter of Stats
Geelong
70% 16 points 40.2-0.75
Punters
Geelong
68% 16 points 40.2-0.66
Live Ladders
Geelong
68% 16 points 40.0-0.65
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
68% 23 points 47.0-0.64
Swinburne
Geelong
67% 16 points 40.0-0.60
PlusSixOne
Geelong
67% 18 points 41.6-0.60
Graft
Geelong
65% 14 points 38.0-0.53
The Arc
Geelong
65% 13 points 37.0-0.51
AFLalytics
Geelong
59% 7 points 31.3-0.29
HPN
Geelong
56% 5 points 29.4-0.19
Squiggle
Geelong
52% 1 point 24.5-0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2019