Port Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
10.11
71
16.13
109
Richmond won by 38 points
IN
Teakle
Houston
Drew
Marshall
Georgiades
Jones
OUT
IN
Rioli
Gibcus
Edwards
Grimes
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.31 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 55.6 | -0.77 |
|
|
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 54.6 | -0.66 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.43 |
|
s10
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 47.7 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.32 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 44.1 | -0.27 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.9 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.9 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 45.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 44.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 43.2 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.