Melbourne v Collingwood

M.C.G.
13.11
89
15.6
96

Collingwood won by 7 points

IN
Brown
Weideman
OUT
IN
Carmichael
Mihocek
Adams
Bianco
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
70% 18 points 24.5-0.72
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
81% 25 points 31.5-1.36
FMI
Melbourne
79% 25 points 32.0-1.25
ZaphBot
Melbourne
75% 28 points 35.0-1.00
AFL Scorigami
Melbourne
74% 21 points 28.4-0.97
AFLalytics
Melbourne
73% 20 points 27.1-0.91
The Flag
Melbourne
72% 19 points 26.0-0.86
AFL Lab
Melbourne
72% 19 points 25.5-0.86
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
72% 19 points 25.9-0.83
Punters
Melbourne
72% 18 points 24.6-0.83
Squiggle
Melbourne
72% 22 points 28.9-0.81
Stattraction
Melbourne
71% 21 points 28.1-0.78
The Wooden Finger
Melbourne
70% 19 points 26.0-0.74
Wheelo Ratings
Melbourne
70% 17 points 23.6-0.73
s10
Melbourne
69% 18 points 24.8-0.70
Drop Kick Data
Melbourne
69% 18 points 25.0-0.70
Elo Predicts!
Melbourne
68% 9 points 16.0-0.62
The Cruncher
Melbourne
67% 15 points 21.9-0.62
Cheap Stats
Melbourne
67% 18 points 25.0-0.60
Graft
Melbourne
67% 15 points 22.0-0.59
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
66% 17 points 23.7-0.56
Glicko Ratings
Melbourne
65% 13 points 19.5-0.52
The Footycast
Melbourne
64% 15 points 22.0-0.49
Hyperion
Melbourne
63% 12 points 19.0-0.45
Live Ladders
Melbourne
63% 10 points 17.0-0.42
Data by Josh
Melbourne
61% 8 points 15.0-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 21, 2022