Greater Western Sydney v Essendon
Sydney Showground
14.12
96
10.9
69
Greater Western Sydney won by 27 points
IN
Briggs
Riccardi
Keeffe
Coniglio
Taranto
O'Halloran
Wehr
Brown
OUT
IN
McGrath
Parish
Caldwell
D'Ambrosio
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.12 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 38.7 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 39.3 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.28 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.15 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.2 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 29.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 29.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 26.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 26.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 24.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 24.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 23.9 | 0.10 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.