Western Bulldogs v Fremantle
Docklands
11.12
78
14.11
95
Fremantle won by 17 points
IN
Darcy
Vandermeer
McNeil
Keath
Treloar
Johannisen
Gardner
Hannan
McComb
Khamis
OUT
IN
O'Driscoll
Tucker
Colyer
Henry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.53 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -1.02 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 37.8 | -0.95 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 33.3 | -0.70 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 32.9 | -0.68 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.60 |
|
Punters
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.55 |
|
s10
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.34 |
|
|
58% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.