Geelong v St Kilda
Kardinia Park
17.8
110
10.5
65
Geelong won by 45 points
IN
Dahlhaus
Parfitt
Menegola
Stanley
Tuohy
Selwood
Dangerfield
Blicavs
Rohan
Ceglar
OUT
IN
Howard
Lienert
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
78% | 27 points | ✓ | 18.1 | 0.64 | |
94% | 49 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.91 | ||
88% | 40 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.82 | ||
Punters
|
86% | 32 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.78 | |
83% | 32 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.73 | ||
82% | 29 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.71 | ||
81% | 35 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 32 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.69 | ||
80% | 12 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.69 | ||
80% | 32 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 26 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.66 | ||
79% | 27 points | ✓ | 18.4 | 0.66 | ||
78% | 32 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.64 | ||
78% | 21 points | ✓ | 24.5 | 0.63 | ||
77% | 25 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.63 | ||
77% | 24 points | ✓ | 20.8 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 28 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 29 points | ✓ | 16.1 | 0.62 | ||
s10
|
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 19.9 | 0.60 | |
75% | 25 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.59 | ||
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.57 | ||
72% | 22 points | ✓ | 22.7 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 27.2 | 0.51 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 26.2 | 0.50 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.42 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 29.4 | 0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.