Brisbane Lions v Carlton
2022-08-07 15:20:00 +10:00
Gabba

17.12

114

12.9

81

Brisbane Lions won by 33 points

IN

Starcevich

Rich

Robinson

Cockatoo

OUT

IN

Marchbank

Martin

Dow

Newnes

Silvagni

Newman

Kennedy

Plowman

Pittonet

Durdin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		72%	19 points	✓	13.6	0.52
		80%	8 points	✓	25.0	0.68
		80%	26 points	✓	7.0	0.68
		79%	27 points	✓	6.5	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	7.4	0.66
		77%	25 points	✓	8.3	0.63
		76%	28 points	✓	5.1	0.61
		75%	22 points	✓	11.5	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	11.0	0.59
Punters		75%	20 points	✓	12.9	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	10.0	0.56
		72%	22 points	✓	11.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	13.0	0.52
s10		71%	20 points	✓	12.7	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	16.5	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	14.2	0.48
		70%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.48
		69%	21 points	✓	12.0	0.46
		69%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	17.2	0.46
		69%	20 points	✓	13.1	0.46
		67%	17 points	✓	15.9	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	19.0	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	21.0	0.36
		63%	15 points	✓	17.9	0.34
		62%	13 points	✓	20.0	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.