Greater Western Sydney v Carlton
Sydney Showground
11.9
75
15.15
105
Carlton won by 30 points
IN
Stone
Riccardi
de Boer
Flynn
Hill
Hogan
OUT
IN
Kemp
Motlop
Plowman
Hewett
McKay
Martin
Young
Boyd
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 32.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
63% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 38.3 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.22 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.12 |
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.4 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 28.6 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 28.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 28.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 27.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.