North Melbourne v Port Adelaide
2022-05-14 14:10:00 +10:00
Bellerive Oval

6.10

46

17.13

115

Port Adelaide won by 69 points

IN

Hayden

Powell

Mahony

Larkey

Greenwood

Simpkin

McKay

Horne-Francis

OUT

IN

Frederick

Jones

Farrell

Jonas

Dumont

Bonner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		79%	30 points	✓	39.1	0.66
		91%	47 points	✓	22.0	0.87
Punters		86%	37 points	✓	32.2	0.78
		86%	34 points	✓	35.0	0.78
		85%	35 points	✓	34.4	0.77
		85%	38 points	✓	31.0	0.77
		85%	33 points	✓	35.7	0.77
		84%	34 points	✓	35.2	0.75
		81%	28 points	✓	40.6	0.70
		81%	35 points	✓	34.0	0.70
		81%	31 points	✓	38.0	0.70
		80%	28 points	✓	41.0	0.68
		80%	33 points	✓	36.5	0.68
		80%	26 points	✓	43.5	0.67
s10		79%	29 points	✓	39.5	0.66
		77%	25 points	✓	44.3	0.63
		76%	31 points	✓	37.9	0.61
		76%	29 points	✓	39.8	0.61
		76%	26 points	✓	43.0	0.60
		76%	23 points	✓	46.0	0.60
		75%	28 points	✓	41.1	0.59
		73%	22 points	✓	47.0	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	47.0	0.55
		72%	24 points	✓	45.0	0.53
		72%	34 points	✓	35.0	0.52
		65%	15 points	✓	53.7	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.