St Kilda v Geelong
Docklands
13.12
90
11.14
80
St Kilda won by 10 points
IN
Sharman
Billings
Butler
Wanganeen-Milera
OUT
IN
Knevitt
Stanley
Selwood
Bews
Evans
Stephens
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.9 | -0.17 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.22 |
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.