Collingwood v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
7.9
51
14.15
99
Western Bulldogs won by 48 points
IN
Poulter
Brown
Madgen
Pendlebury
Ginnivan
Bianco
OUT
IN
West
Cleary
Sweet
Keath
Bontempelli
O'Brien
Smith
Weightman
Vandermeer
Martin
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 39.1 | 0.26 | |
73% | 19 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.55 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.47 | ||
67% | 9 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 30.4 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 34.7 | 0.39 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.39 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 37.4 | 0.33 | ||
Punters
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 36.6 | 0.32 | |
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 38.4 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 36.5 | 0.28 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 36.7 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 39.5 | 0.27 | ||
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.21 | ||
s10
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.20 | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 43.8 | 0.14 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 45.7 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 46.8 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.01 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.07 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.