Hawthorn v Richmond
2022-05-14 13:45:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

14.10

94

17.15

117

Richmond won by 23 points

IN

Butler

Nash

Lewis

Wingard

Mitchell

Macdonald

Ward

Callow

OUT

IN

Nyuon

Prestia

Vlastuin

Edwards

Mansell

Gibcus

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	12.7	0.29
		73%	22 points	✓	1.0	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	3.0	0.54
Punters		72%	22 points	✓	0.7	0.54
		66%	18 points	✓	5.0	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	9.2	0.39
		64%	14 points	✓	9.0	0.35
		64%	11 points	✓	11.7	0.35
		64%	12 points	✓	11.0	0.35
		64%	12 points	✓	11.0	0.34
		63%	9 points	✓	14.0	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	11.1	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	13.5	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	13.8	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	14.4	0.27
s10		60%	9 points	✓	14.1	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	16.0	0.24
		57%	6 points	✓	17.0	0.19
		57%	8 points	✓	15.2	0.19
		56%	4 points	✓	18.6	0.15
		56%	5 points	✓	18.5	0.15
		54%	4 points	✓	18.8	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	19.0	0.11
		54%	4 points	✓	18.9	0.11
		53%	2 points	✗	25.0	-0.09

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.