Sydney v Essendon
2022-05-14 19:25:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

14.21

105

6.11

47

Sydney won by 58 points

IN

Bell

Wicks

Hickey

McLean

Campbell

Ronke

OUT

IN

Durham

Guelfi

Kelly

Ridley

Smith

Ham

Zerk-Thatcher

Baldwin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		74%	22 points	✓	35.7	0.56
		85%	24 points	✓	34.0	0.77
		84%	33 points	✓	25.0	0.74
		80%	26 points	✓	32.0	0.68
		78%	25 points	✓	33.2	0.64
		78%	27 points	✓	31.5	0.64
Punters		76%	23 points	✓	34.8	0.61
		76%	26 points	✓	32.0	0.61
		76%	26 points	✓	32.0	0.60
		76%	29 points	✓	29.4	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	33.0	0.58
		74%	25 points	✓	33.0	0.57
		73%	22 points	✓	36.0	0.55
		73%	24 points	✓	34.5	0.54
		73%	25 points	✓	33.4	0.54
		73%	20 points	✓	38.3	0.54
		73%	19 points	✓	38.5	0.54
		72%	24 points	✓	34.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	38.5	0.52
		71%	15 points	✓	43.1	0.51
s10		71%	20 points	✓	37.8	0.50
		70%	23 points	✓	35.3	0.49
		68%	19 points	✓	39.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	44.0	0.43
		64%	16 points	✓	42.5	0.35
		60%	9 points	✓	49.5	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.