Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
2022-05-14 19:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

9.12

66

16.6

102

Brisbane Lions won by 36 points

IN

Soligo

Strachan

Murray

Rowe

Fogarty

McHenry

Smith

O'Brien

Schoenberg

Butts

Murphy

Frampton

Cook

Gollant

OUT

IN

Hipwood

Gardiner

McStay

Lester

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		75%	24 points	✓	11.7	0.58
		84%	33 points	✓	3.0	0.74
Punters		82%	30 points	✓	5.8	0.71
		80%	29 points	✓	7.0	0.68
		79%	35 points	✓	1.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	9.9	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	9.0	0.64
		77%	31 points	✓	4.9	0.63
		77%	28 points	✓	8.0	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	10.0	0.62
		77%	24 points	✓	11.8	0.62
		76%	26 points	✓	10.0	0.60
		76%	24 points	✓	12.5	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	12.0	0.58
		73%	21 points	✓	14.7	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	15.4	0.55
		73%	26 points	✓	9.6	0.55
		73%	27 points	✓	9.4	0.54
		72%	25 points	✓	11.0	0.53
		72%	24 points	✓	12.0	0.53
s10		72%	21 points	✓	15.0	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	18.9	0.49
		69%	17 points	✓	19.0	0.47
		68%	14 points	✓	21.6	0.44
		66%	14 points	✓	21.9	0.39
		64%	15 points	✓	21.2	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.