Adelaide v North Melbourne
2021-08-22 16:40:00
Adelaide Oval

13.20

98

8.6

54

Adelaide won by 44 points

IN

Gollant

Frampton

Smith

Kelly

Himmelberg

Murray

OUT

IN

Spicer

Bosenavulagi

Atley

Ziebell

Scott

Comben

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	37.7	0.18
		68%	14 points	✓	29.6	0.45
		66%	14 points	✓	30.0	0.40
		63%	11 points	✓	32.7	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	31.1	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	33.1	0.31
		59%	8 points	✓	36.0	0.24
s10		59%	8 points	✓	36.3	0.23
		58%	10 points	✓	34.0	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	37.5	0.21
		57%	5 points	✓	39.5	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	38.9	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	38.0	0.16
Punters		53%	2 points	✓	41.9	0.07
		51%	3 points	✓	41.0	0.03
		50%	1 point	✓	43.0	0.01
		53%	2 points	✗	46.0	-0.08
		58%	6 points	✗	50.4	-0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.