St Kilda v Fremantle
Bellerive Oval

17.5
107

6.13
49
St Kilda won by 58 points
IN
Clavarino
Hunter
Bytel
Long
King
Dunstan
Byrnes
Joyce
OUT
IN
Bewley
Acres
Brayshaw
Cerra
Schultz
Blakely
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
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60% | 9 points | ✓ | 49.3 | 0.25 |
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76% | 23 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.61 |
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69% | 17 points | ✓ | 41.3 | 0.47 |
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65% | 13 points | ✓ | 44.7 | 0.39 |
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65% | 13 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.37 |
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62% | 10 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.31 |
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62% | 8 points | ✓ | 50.5 | 0.30 |
s10
|
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61% | 9 points | ✓ | 48.5 | 0.29 |
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61% | 11 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.29 |
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60% | 9 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.27 |
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58% | 10 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.21 |
Punters
|
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58% | 7 points | ✓ | 51.5 | 0.20 |
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57% | 9 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.19 |
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56% | 5 points | ✓ | 53.1 | 0.16 |
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55% | 5 points | ✓ | 52.8 | 0.14 |
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53% | 3 points | ✓ | 55.4 | 0.09 |
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52% | 1 point | ✓ | 56.7 | 0.05 |
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54% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.6 | -0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.