Richmond v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
12.11
83
12.11
83
Match Drawn
IN
Miller
Martyn
Collier-Dawkins
Ross
Chol
Astbury
Castagna
McIntosh
Pickett
Edwards
Cotchin
Lambert
Nankervis
Prestia
Mansell
Ralphsmith
Garthwaite
Rioli
OUT
IN
Worpel
O'Meara
Newcombe
Downie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.4 | -0.00 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 15.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✓ | 16.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
65% | 19 points | ✓ | 19.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 14.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | -0.01 |
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 6.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.9 | -0.01 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.7 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.9 | -0.00 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.4 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.00 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.6 | -0.01 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | -0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 18.8 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.