Carlton v Greater Western Sydney
2021-08-21 19:40:00
Docklands

11.9

75

12.17

89

Greater Western Sydney won by 14 points

IN

Fogarty

Cripps

Murphy

Dow

OUT

IN

Briggs

Greene

Mumford

Peatling

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		58%	7 points	✓	6.7	0.21
Punters		73%	21 points	✓	6.8	0.54
		70%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.49
		69%	17 points	✓	2.6	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		63%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.34
		60%	10 points	✓	3.7	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	6.3	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	6.8	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	8.2	0.18
s10		56%	6 points	✓	8.5	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	9.5	0.12
		52%	1 point	✓	13.0	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	13.0	0.04
		51%	2 points	✓	12.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✗	15.0	-0.03
		52%	1 point	✗	15.0	-0.06
		60%	8 points	✗	21.9	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.