Brisbane Lions v West Coast
2021-08-21 16:35:00
Gabba

19.11

125

13.9

87

Brisbane Lions won by 38 points

IN

Adams

Andrews

OUT

IN

West

Hutchings

Edwards

Jones

Brander

Rotham

Waterman

Kelly

McGovern

Kennedy

Redden

Sheppard

Petruccelle

Edwards

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		82%	35 points	✓	2.9	0.71
		95%	59 points	✓	21.0	0.92
		90%	44 points	✓	6.1	0.84
		89%	42 points	✓	4.0	0.84
		89%	46 points	✓	8.4	0.82
Punters		88%	43 points	✓	5.3	0.82
		88%	38 points	✓	0.3	0.82
		86%	38 points	✓	0.2	0.79
		85%	39 points	✓	1.0	0.77
s10		83%	35 points	✓	3.4	0.72
		80%	31 points	✓	7.0	0.68
		79%	26 points	✓	12.5	0.65
		77%	38 points	✓	0.0	0.62
		75%	28 points	✓	10.4	0.58
		75%	21 points	✓	16.5	0.58
		74%	27 points	✓	11.0	0.57
		71%	23 points	✓	15.5	0.51
		69%	20 points	✓	18.3	0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.