Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide
Docklands
10.4
64
9.12
66
Port Adelaide won by 2 points
IN
Smith
Garcia
OUT
IN
McKenzie
Motlop
Clurey
Fantasia
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.20 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.71 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.8 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.7 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.25 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.24 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.3 | -0.24 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.