Geelong v Melbourne
Kardinia Park
12.5
77
12.9
81
Melbourne won by 4 points
IN
Miers
Atkins
Rohan
Higgins
Ratugolea
Guthrie
OUT
IN
McDonald
Viney
May
Melksham
Hibberd
Jordon
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.15 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.7 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.12 |
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.4 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.2 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.