Sydney v Geelong
Carrara
9.9
63
10.9
69
Geelong won by 6 points
IN
Rowbottom
Sinclair
Dawson
Taylor
Wicks
Amartey
OUT
IN
Steven
Rohan
Selwood
Ablett
Atkins
Fogarty
Close
Jarvis
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 18.6 | 0.65 | |
92% | 39 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.88 | ||
91% | 37 points | ✓ | 30.9 | 0.87 | ||
Punters
|
86% | 28 points | ✓ | 21.9 | 0.78 | |
83% | 28 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.73 | ||
82% | 28 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.71 | ||
s10
|
79% | 25 points | ✓ | 19.2 | 0.65 | |
78% | 23 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.63 | ||
78% | 30 points | ✓ | 24.3 | 0.63 | ||
76% | 21 points | ✓ | 15.3 | 0.60 | ||
76% | 14 points | ✓ | 8.4 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 19 points | ✓ | 12.7 | 0.59 | ||
72% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.51 | ||
69% | 26 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.46 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.41 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.