Adelaide v Richmond
2020-09-19 16:40:00
Adelaide Oval

4.9

33

12.5

77

Richmond won by 44 points

IN

Mackay

Talia

Walker

Gibbs

Frampton

Butts

OUT

IN

Chol

Astbury

Caddy

Edwards

Bolton

Lynch

Soldo

Markov

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		78%	24 points	✓	20.5	0.63
		89%	33 points	✓	11.0	0.83
		85%	31 points	✓	13.0	0.77
		81%	25 points	✓	19.0	0.70
Punters		79%	21 points	✓	23.5	0.67
		79%	15 points	✓	28.8	0.66
		79%	23 points	✓	21.0	0.65
		78%	22 points	✓	22.2	0.65
		78%	23 points	✓	21.0	0.64
		77%	23 points	✓	21.0	0.62
		77%	23 points	✓	21.0	0.61
s10		75%	22 points	✓	22.4	0.59
		75%	26 points	✓	17.8	0.58
		74%	33 points	✓	11.0	0.57
		70%	17 points	✓	26.9	0.49
		64%	15 points	✓	29.3	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.