Collingwood v Port Adelaide
2020-09-21 19:15:00
Gabba

7.3

45

9.7

61

Port Adelaide won by 16 points

IN

Stephenson

Brown

OUT

IN

Woodcock

Lienert

Clurey

Farrell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		54%	3 points	✓	13.4	0.10
		60%	7 points	✓	9.0	0.27
		59%	5 points	✓	11.2	0.23
Punters		58%	7 points	✓	9.5	0.22
		57%	6 points	✓	10.2	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	11.0	0.18
		56%	4 points	✓	12.0	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	12.0	0.14
s10		54%	3 points	✓	13.2	0.11
		54%	2 points	✓	13.7	0.10
		53%	2 points	✓	14.0	0.08
		51%	0 points	✓	15.6	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	15.1	0.03
		51%	1 point	✗	17.0	-0.03
		53%	2 points	✗	18.0	-0.09
		54%	4 points	✗	20.1	-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.