St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney
Gabba
12.10
82
3.12
30
St Kilda won by 52 points
IN
Hannebery
Carlisle
Jones
Hind
OUT
IN
Riccardi
Cumming
Coniglio
Himmelberg
de Boer
Kennedy
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 49.7 | 0.11 | |
64% | 5 points | ✓ | 47.2 | 0.35 | ||
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 49.2 | 0.17 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 47.3 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.15 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 48.1 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 2 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 47.1 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.12 | ||
s10
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.10 | |
Punters
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 50.2 | 0.09 | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 52.5 | -0.02 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.