Hawthorn v Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval
17.6
108
8.9
57
Hawthorn won by 51 points
IN
Stratton
Frawley
Howe
Maginness
OUT
IN
Farrar
Sharp
Ainsworth
MacPherson
Holman
Lemmens
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.9 | 0.10 |
|
|
64% | 6 points | ✓ | 45.3 | 0.37 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.35 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 44.4 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 43.1 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.19 |
|
s10
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 47.4 | 0.15 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 52.8 | -0.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 53.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
59% | 4 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
66% | 10 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.55 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.