Essendon v Melbourne
2020-09-19 14:10:00
Carrara

7.7

49

10.8

68

Melbourne won by 19 points

IN

Laverde

Hurley

Redman

Phillips

Townsend

Hibberd

OUT

IN

Hibberd

Jetta

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		62%	9 points	✓	9.7	0.31
		81%	23 points	✓	4.0	0.69
		71%	10 points	✓	8.6	0.50
		66%	12 points	✓	6.9	0.41
Punters		64%	12 points	✓	7.5	0.35
		63%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.33
		63%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	8.7	0.29
s10		60%	8 points	✓	11.0	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	11.5	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	10.2	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	12.0	0.25
		57%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.19
		51%	2 points	✓	17.0	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	17.7	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.