Brisbane Lions v Carlton
2020-09-19 19:40:00
Gabba

11.12

78

10.1

61

Brisbane Lions won by 17 points

IN

Starcevich

McCarthy

Martin

Answerth

Smith

Hinge

OUT

IN

Polson

Pittonet

Kennedy

Martin

Fisher

Setterfield

Docherty

O'Brien

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		75%	21 points	✓	3.8	0.59
		85%	32 points	✓	15.0	0.77
		85%	27 points	✓	10.0	0.76
		81%	22 points	✓	5.2	0.70
Punters		80%	24 points	✓	6.6	0.67
		79%	24 points	✓	7.0	0.67
		79%	23 points	✓	6.4	0.66
		77%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.62
		77%	23 points	✓	6.0	0.62
s10		74%	20 points	✓	3.0	0.57
		71%	17 points	✓	0.0	0.50
		70%	15 points	✓	2.5	0.49
		70%	26 points	✓	9.0	0.49
		69%	20 points	✓	2.5	0.47
		67%	8 points	✓	9.0	0.42
		62%	12 points	✓	4.8	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.