Gold Coast v Essendon
Carrara
11.7
73
11.7
73
Match Drawn
IN
Flanders
Corbett
Fiorini
Sexton
Holman
Sharp
OUT
IN
Clarke
Gleeson
Bellchambers
Hurley
Townsend
Draper
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.00 |
|
|
66% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.6 | -0.03 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | -0.01 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.9 | -0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.5 | -0.00 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.0 | -0.00 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.6 | -0.01 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
66% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.2 | -0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.