Fremantle v Hawthorn
Perth Stadium
7.6
48
4.8
32
Fremantle won by 16 points
IN
Hill
Aish
Matera
Watson
OUT
IN
Nash
Burgoyne
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.14 |
|
|
71% | 14 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.79 |
|
|
64% | 6 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.49 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.41 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.7 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.15 |
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.