Melbourne v North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
13.14
92
5.5
35
Melbourne won by 57 points
IN
Rivers
Pickett
Spargo
Hannan
McDonald
Gawn
Viney
Neal-Bullen
Lockhart
Bennell
OUT
IN
Durdin
Larkey
Davies-Uniacke
Brown
Walker
Hosie
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 55.2 | 0.09 | |
65% | 9 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 6 points | ✓ | 51.4 | 0.36 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 2 points | ✓ | 54.6 | 0.19 | ||
s10
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 54.5 | 0.09 | |
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 54.7 | 0.08 | ||
Punters
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 55.2 | 0.08 | |
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 54.9 | 0.07 | ||
52% | 7 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.04 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.06 | ||
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.06 | ||
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 60.3 | -0.14 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.