Melbourne v North Melbourne
2020-08-09 18:10:00
Adelaide Oval

13.14

92

5.5

35

Melbourne won by 57 points

IN

Rivers

Pickett

Spargo

Hannan

McDonald

Gawn

Viney

Neal-Bullen

Lockhart

Bennell

OUT

IN

Durdin

Larkey

Davies-Uniacke

Brown

Walker

Hosie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		53%	2 points	✓	55.2	0.09
		65%	9 points	✓	48.0	0.37
		64%	6 points	✓	51.4	0.36
		58%	6 points	✓	51.0	0.21
		57%	2 points	✓	54.6	0.19
s10		53%	2 points	✓	54.5	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	54.7	0.08
Punters		53%	2 points	✓	55.2	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	54.9	0.07
		52%	7 points	✓	50.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	55.0	0.06
		51%	0 points	✓	57.0	0.04
		52%	2 points	✗	59.0	-0.06
		52%	4 points	✗	61.0	-0.06
		55%	3 points	✗	60.3	-0.14
		55%	4 points	✗	61.0	-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.