Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs
2020-08-08 19:40:00
Gabba

14.12

96

11.6

72

Brisbane Lions won by 24 points

IN

Eagles

Birchall

McStay

Rich

Rayner

Ballenden

Skinner

Payne

OUT

IN

Gardner

Dale

Naughton

Crozier

Smith

Weightman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	9.3	0.43
		79%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.66
		77%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.61
		72%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.52
		70%	15 points	✓	8.7	0.48
Punters		70%	15 points	✓	9.2	0.48
		69%	13 points	✓	11.5	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.44
s10		68%	15 points	✓	9.3	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	10.4	0.43
		66%	17 points	✓	7.3	0.40
		65%	20 points	✓	4.0	0.38
		62%	10 points	✓	14.0	0.31
		57%	4 points	✓	20.0	0.18
		57%	8 points	✓	16.0	0.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.