Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
5.8
38
10.2
62
Collingwood won by 24 points
IN
McPherson
McAdam
Stengle
Hartigan
Smith
Talia
Kelly
Murphy
Jones
Hamill
OUT
IN
Broomhead
Dunn
Cameron
Wills
Varcoe
Mayne
Treloar
Moore
Hoskin-Elliott
Elliott
Reid
Quaynor
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.63 | |
92% | 38 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.87 | ||
91% | 37 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.86 | ||
87% | 40 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.80 | ||
83% | 16 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.73 | ||
79% | 25 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.67 | ||
Punters
|
78% | 20 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.64 | |
77% | 23 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 30 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.60 | ||
s10
|
75% | 22 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.58 | |
75% | 19 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.58 | ||
73% | 31 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.55 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.51 | ||
71% | 17 points | ✓ | 7.2 | 0.51 | ||
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.46 | ||
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.