St Kilda v Geelong
Gabba
4.10
34
14.9
93
Geelong won by 59 points
IN
Bytel
Geary
Ryder
Jones
OUT
IN
Kolodjashnij
Rohan
Parfitt
Fogarty
Simpson
Guthrie
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 47.1 | 0.34 | |
80% | 21 points | ✓ | 38.4 | 0.68 | ||
72% | 25 points | ✓ | 34.2 | 0.53 | ||
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 44.2 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.44 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.41 | ||
s10
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 45.1 | 0.40 | |
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.36 | ||
Punters
|
63% | 9 points | ✓ | 50.1 | 0.34 | |
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 51.2 | 0.27 | ||
58% | 11 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.21 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.20 | ||
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.20 | ||
52% | 0 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.