Port Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
13.15
93
11.6
72
Port Adelaide won by 21 points
IN
Sutcliffe
Lienert
Lycett
Westhoff
Rozee
Mayes
OUT
IN
Rioli
Caddy
Cotchin
Higgins
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 16.4 | 0.17 | |
75% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.58 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.8 | 0.36 | ||
60% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 6 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.23 | ||
s10
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.22 | |
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.15 | ||
Punters
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.8 | 0.12 | |
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.05 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.05 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.9 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.