Port Adelaide v Fremantle
2026-07-18 13:15:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

11.9

75

15.13

103

Fremantle won by 28 points

IN

Zadow

O'Brien

Marshall

Moraes

Zerk-Thatcher

Butters

Horne-Francis

Farrell

Georgiades

Lukosius

OUT

IN

Young

Bolton

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	25 points	✓	3.0	0.65
Aggregate		74%	22 points	✓	5.6	0.56
Punters		90%	45 points	✓	17.2	0.86
		87%	33 points	✓	4.9	0.80
		86%	32 points	✓	4.4	0.78
		85%	39 points	✓	11.0	0.77
		84%	26 points	✓	1.9	0.74
		83%	31 points	✓	3.3	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	3.7	0.71
		81%	33 points	✓	4.9	0.69
		80%	29 points	✓	1.0	0.68
		77%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	2.0	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	4.3	0.61
		76%	18 points	✓	10.5	0.59
		74%	19 points	✓	9.1	0.57
		74%	17 points	✓	10.9	0.56
		72%	18 points	✓	9.7	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	8.2	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	9.4	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.48
		69%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.46
		66%	17 points	✓	11.1	0.40
		66%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.39
		66%	13 points	✓	15.2	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.37
		61%	9 points	✓	18.7	0.29
		58%	12 points	✓	16.5	0.20
		55%	5 points	✓	23.4	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.