Gold Coast v Western Bulldogs
Carrara
9.14
68
11.11
77
Western Bulldogs won by 9 points
IN
Lewis
Long
Rioli
Graham
Holman
Read
OUT
IN
Coffield
McNeil
Sanders
English
Liberatore
Dale
Cleary
Kennedy
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.20 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.67 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 21.2 | -0.50 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 21.2 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.8 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.23 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.3 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.35 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.