North Melbourne v Melbourne
2026-07-18 16:15:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.10

76

13.14

92

Melbourne won by 16 points

IN

Goater

Scott

Blamires

Banch

OUT

IN

Heath

Fritsch

Laurie

Johnson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	17 points	✓	1.4	0.50
Aggregate		69%	17 points	✓	1.1	0.45
		81%	27 points	✓	10.8	0.69
		78%	27 points	✓	10.6	0.64
		78%	22 points	✓	6.2	0.63
		77%	19 points	✓	3.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	9.0	0.60
		75%	27 points	✓	11.0	0.58
		75%	24 points	✓	8.0	0.58
		73%	20 points	✓	4.5	0.55
		73%	19 points	✓	2.5	0.54
		72%	30 points	✓	14.0	0.53
		71%	18 points	✓	2.3	0.51
		69%	15 points	✓	1.0	0.47
Punters		69%	18 points	✓	1.8	0.47
		69%	13 points	✓	2.8	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	0.3	0.45
		68%	24 points	✓	8.0	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	0.2	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	0.1	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	0.1	0.42
		67%	13 points	✓	3.4	0.42
		66%	13 points	✓	3.0	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	3.9	0.38
		65%	16 points	✓	0.0	0.38
		63%	13 points	✓	3.0	0.34
		62%	11 points	✓	5.0	0.32
		61%	11 points	✓	4.7	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	7.0	0.26
		56%	8 points	✓	7.6	0.15
		54%	2 points	✗	17.9	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.