Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
Docklands
10.7
67
8.16
64
Essendon won by 3 points
IN
Artemis
El Achkar
Ridley
Langford
Perkins
Parish
Blakiston
Jones
OUT
IN
Madden
Stone
Gruzewski
Whitfield
Briggs
Thomas
Gothard
Oliver
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
82% | 29 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -1.46 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -1.41 |
|
|
91% | 37 points | ✗ | 39.7 | -2.44 |
|
|
88% | 34 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -2.02 |
|
|
87% | 35 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.94 |
|
Punters
|
|
86% | 39 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -1.86 |
|
|
86% | 38 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -1.84 |
|
|
86% | 32 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -1.79 |
|
|
85% | 32 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.78 |
|
|
84% | 27 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -1.66 |
|
|
84% | 33 points | ✗ | 35.7 | -1.64 |
|
|
84% | 29 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -1.64 |
|
|
84% | 34 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -1.64 |
|
|
83% | 34 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -1.56 |
|
|
83% | 31 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -1.56 |
|
|
83% | 32 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -1.55 |
|
|
82% | 36 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -1.47 |
|
|
82% | 31 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -1.47 |
|
|
81% | 41 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.37 |
|
|
80% | 28 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.31 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -1.28 |
|
|
79% | 25 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -1.27 |
|
|
79% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -1.26 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -1.17 |
|
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -1.14 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -1.08 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -1.05 |
|
|
75% | 33 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 28 points | ✗ | 31.4 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.94 |
|
|
68% | 29 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.66 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.