Collingwood v Carlton
2026-07-18 19:35:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

14.6

90

10.9

69

Collingwood won by 21 points

IN

West

Harrison

Quaynor

Howe

Schultz

Buller

OUT

IN

Reidy

Acres

Lord

Hollands

Ison

Riley

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	10 points	✓	11.2	0.33
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	13.3	0.25
		71%	13 points	✓	8.5	0.50
		69%	14 points	✓	7.3	0.47
		69%	15 points	✓	6.0	0.47
		69%	15 points	✓	6.0	0.46
		66%	15 points	✓	6.0	0.41
		66%	10 points	✓	10.5	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	9.2	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	9.4	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	9.4	0.34
		62%	12 points	✓	9.0	0.31
		61%	7 points	✓	14.2	0.28
		58%	7 points	✓	14.2	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	14.3	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	13.0	0.21
Punters		57%	5 points	✓	15.9	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	12.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	14.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	15.0	0.19
		57%	8 points	✓	13.0	0.18
		57%	6 points	✓	15.0	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	16.3	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	14.7	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	16.2	0.16
		53%	3 points	✓	18.4	0.09
		53%	4 points	✓	16.7	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	19.0	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	19.5	0.05
		51%	0 points	✓	20.9	0.04
		51%	0 points	✗	21.0	-0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.