Geelong v St Kilda
2026-07-16 19:30:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

15.12

102

11.9

75

Geelong won by 27 points

IN

Polkinghorne

Clark

Edwards

O'Connor

Close

Worpel

Miers

Cameron

Bowes

Blicavs

Martin

Bruhn

Kolodjashnij

Knevitt

OUT

IN

Clark

Hastie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	20 points	✓	6.8	0.56
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	6.9	0.52
		82%	25 points	✓	2.1	0.72
		81%	28 points	✓	0.6	0.69
		80%	29 points	✓	2.3	0.67
		80%	28 points	✓	1.5	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	0.8	0.65
		78%	27 points	✓	0.3	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	1.1	0.64
		77%	24 points	✓	3.4	0.62
		77%	22 points	✓	5.5	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	2.0	0.60
		76%	22 points	✓	5.0	0.60
		76%	18 points	✓	8.9	0.60
		73%	23 points	✓	4.0	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	7.0	0.54
		72%	24 points	✓	3.0	0.52
		70%	20 points	✓	7.5	0.49
		70%	16 points	✓	10.7	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	10.0	0.48
		70%	18 points	✓	9.4	0.48
		69%	15 points	✓	12.0	0.46
Punters		67%	14 points	✓	13.5	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	12.7	0.42
		67%	22 points	✓	5.0	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	13.0	0.40
		64%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.36
		63%	10 points	✓	17.2	0.34
		60%	11 points	✓	16.0	0.26
		56%	10 points	✓	17.2	0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.