Richmond v Hawthorn
2026-07-19 13:10:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

6.16

52

18.14

122

Hawthorn won by 70 points

IN

Lalor

Green

Short

Miller

Alger

Peucker

OUT

IN

Battle

Weddle

Watson

Amon

Day

Hill

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		92%	45 points	✓	24.6	0.89
Aggregate		90%	47 points	✓	23.3	0.86
		98%	62 points	✓	7.5	0.97
		96%	48 points	✓	21.7	0.95
		96%	55 points	✓	14.7	0.94
		95%	53 points	✓	16.7	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	12.0	0.93
		94%	43 points	✓	27.0	0.91
		94%	47 points	✓	22.8	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	17.1	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	17.3	0.90
		93%	43 points	✓	27.5	0.89
		92%	51 points	✓	19.0	0.88
Punters		92%	50 points	✓	19.7	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	18.8	0.88
		92%	47 points	✓	22.5	0.88
		91%	52 points	✓	18.0	0.87
		91%	44 points	✓	25.6	0.87
		91%	49 points	✓	20.9	0.86
		91%	40 points	✓	29.8	0.86
		90%	49 points	✓	20.8	0.84
		90%	41 points	✓	28.7	0.84
		89%	43 points	✓	27.2	0.84
		89%	33 points	✓	37.0	0.83
		89%	40 points	✓	30.0	0.83
		87%	41 points	✓	29.0	0.80
		87%	54 points	✓	16.0	0.79
		86%	40 points	✓	30.0	0.78
		83%	41 points	✓	28.6	0.73
		79%	25 points	✓	45.0	0.66
		76%	44 points	✓	25.8	0.61

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.