Richmond v Adelaide
2026-05-10 15:15:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

9.7

61

14.14

98

Adelaide won by 37 points

IN

Taranto

Prestia

OUT

IN

Murray

Dawson

Walker

Butts

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		87%	36 points	✓	0.6	0.80
Aggregate		84%	35 points	✓	2.1	0.74
		93%	47 points	✓	10.1	0.90
		93%	42 points	✓	5.0	0.90
		92%	43 points	✓	5.8	0.89
		90%	37 points	✓	0.5	0.84
		89%	33 points	✓	3.5	0.84
		89%	38 points	✓	1.0	0.83
		88%	39 points	✓	2.5	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	3.7	0.80
		87%	38 points	✓	0.8	0.79
		87%	37 points	✓	0.0	0.79
		87%	33 points	✓	4.0	0.79
		86%	35 points	✓	2.0	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	2.0	0.78
Punters		86%	38 points	✓	1.4	0.78
		85%	31 points	✓	6.3	0.77
		85%	52 points	✓	15.0	0.76
		84%	37 points	✓	0.5	0.75
		83%	34 points	✓	3.0	0.74
		83%	30 points	✓	7.2	0.72
		82%	45 points	✓	8.0	0.72
		81%	31 points	✓	6.2	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	8.0	0.69
		80%	38 points	✓	1.0	0.68
		78%	25 points	✓	11.7	0.64
		77%	27 points	✓	10.0	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	9.8	0.62
		74%	28 points	✓	9.4	0.57
		71%	19 points	✓	18.0	0.51
		63%	20 points	✓	16.6	0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.