Greater Western Sydney v Essendon
2026-05-09 16:15:00 +10:00
Sydney Showground

16.7

103

13.11

89

Greater Western Sydney won by 14 points

IN

Hannaford

Gruzewski

McMullin

Riccardi

Hogan

O'Halloran

Angwin

Aleer

OUT

IN

Johnson

May

Bryan

Parish

Perkins

Redman

Caldwell

McKay

Gresham

El-Hawli

Edwards

Kondogiannis

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		88%	37 points	✓	23.4	0.81
Aggregate		84%	35 points	✓	20.8	0.74
		93%	46 points	✓	31.7	0.90
		92%	37 points	✓	23.5	0.88
		92%	42 points	✓	28.3	0.88
		90%	42 points	✓	28.4	0.84
Punters		90%	43 points	✓	29.0	0.84
		89%	43 points	✓	28.8	0.84
		89%	40 points	✓	25.9	0.83
		89%	36 points	✓	22.2	0.83
		88%	39 points	✓	24.9	0.81
		86%	35 points	✓	21.1	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	25.0	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	25.0	0.78
		86%	38 points	✓	24.0	0.78
		86%	35 points	✓	21.0	0.78
		85%	34 points	✓	19.8	0.77
		85%	35 points	✓	21.0	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	23.3	0.77
		84%	31 points	✓	16.5	0.74
		82%	30 points	✓	16.0	0.71
		82%	30 points	✓	15.7	0.71
		81%	32 points	✓	17.6	0.70
		81%	37 points	✓	23.0	0.70
		77%	37 points	✓	23.0	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	11.8	0.62
		74%	39 points	✓	25.3	0.56
		74%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.56
		73%	26 points	✓	12.0	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.55
		69%	19 points	✓	4.5	0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.